Advice around ovulation

I have really not been thinking about trying for baby no.2, then all of a sudden had the urge. For context, we got pregnant with no.1 first try by having sex in the fertile zone laid out by my app.

So, I had sex on day 14 of my normally 29day cycle. App said that was a strong day. I had a bit of a panic out our hasty decision the following day (yesterday) and bought some ovulations strips. I tested twice yesterday and once today, and there appears to be no surge. Apps suggest my ovulation should have been today. Can anyone help me guess what might be happening? Might I have missed the surge? Might it be coming later? Have I probably had sex the wrong day for conception if so?

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